Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 3.242171 3.626047 4.041858 4.526475 5.076705 5.683089 6.403437
2024-10-27 2.554086 3.036176 3.594875 4.292850 5.145150 6.156663 7.454903
2024-11-03 2.222253 2.765948 3.429151 4.303078 5.432377 6.853214 8.793166
2024-11-10 2.025104 2.617428 3.371116 4.409419 5.816602 7.677213 10.356604
2024-11-17 1.845107 2.461735 3.274880 4.438390 6.081261 8.349244 11.771580
2024-11-24 1.698653 2.330517 3.190440 4.463091 6.327313 9.003107 13.216639
2024-12-01 1.574724 2.215339 3.112285 4.480959 6.554237 9.638659 14.691557
2024-12-08 1.434898 2.063315 2.965343 4.379380 6.586045 9.975589 15.729407
2024-12-15 1.335618 1.960764 2.879532 4.357341 6.730303 10.489585 17.095680
2024-12-22 1.243224 1.860236 2.787005 4.313652 6.831112 10.936407 18.389985
2024-12-29 1.211574 1.849284 2.829204 4.484391 7.291644 12.012546 20.888774
2025-01-05 1.145548 1.778960 2.771764 4.485904 7.465921 12.615573 22.604067
2025-01-12 1.073817 1.696059 2.690558 4.445246 7.571548 13.122665 24.231793
2025-01-19 0.970119 1.554009 2.502498 4.206629 7.306126 12.937270 24.509840
2025-01-26 0.922166 1.500894 2.458453 4.214715 7.485136 13.585133 26.511344
2025-02-02 0.895020 1.480666 2.468153 4.318234 7.848458 14.615887 29.424623
2025-02-09 0.857430 1.439667 2.438451 4.346460 8.069785 15.390277 31.894871
2025-02-16 0.822163 1.400202 2.408305 4.370576 8.283815 16.169379 34.475210
2025-02-23 0.788584 1.361406 2.376378 4.388029 8.484847 16.940093 37.137139
2025-03-02 0.741019 1.294309 2.288129 4.288790 8.437971 17.181200 38.594378
2025-03-09 0.707712 1.251198 2.241339 4.267258 8.549535 17.772595 40.965002
2025-03-16 0.674016 1.205310 2.186278 4.224574 8.611660 18.259645 43.142873
2025-03-23 0.668528 1.212082 2.232060 4.391381 9.142500 19.861171 48.380971